Floyd Mayweather vs Conor McGregor: Pre-Fight Anaylsis

Following the conclusion of the hugely successful press tour, the world has seen Conor McGregor and Floyd Mayweather come face to face. With the continual trash talk going back and forth, the circus like antics and all the controversy that came with it – has the tour changed anyone’s impressions going into the fight?

Facing Off

When the two fighters stood face to face in their very first face-off, one thing was immediately prominent. McGregor is considerably larger than Floyd Mayweather. Despite only an inch in height difference, McGregor looked to have much larger limbs. He looked a lot stockier and broad, even his head dwarfed Mayweather’s.

While Mayweather has fought larger foes in the past, few if any look as imposing as McGregor did when stood toe-to-toe. Though, fighting isn’t all about being the bigger man, the difference was somewhat shocking.

On the basis of physical matter, McGregor could use his size to his advantage. It won’t win him the fight alone but it could certainly help. While being the bigger man, McGregor is also exceptional at range management. He knows how to use his longer arms extremely well to keep his opponent at bay.

Alongside the range, he also has devastating knockout power in both of his hands. Being ambidextrous, McGregor is also able to switch stance which he may do on the night of the fight in order to throw Mayweather off his game.

McGregor by the Numbers

When looking at the statistics of McGregor’s sheer punching power, he packs in a frightening amount of force at 850 pounds of force behind his punches. Put into perspective, Frank Bruno punches at 920 pounds of force.

Conor’s left hand is like being hit by a 10 pound sledgehammer being swung at 20MPH. This is further intensified when you consider the sheer velocity at which Conor rotates at when connecting. An MLB pitchers rotates at 500 degrees when throwing a fastball, McGregor when throwing his left hand rotates at 582 degrees.

With statistics showing his ferocious power, he also put together a crisp accuracy percentage. In the octagon he lands 5.82 strikes a minute with a 47% success rate whilst absorbing 4.55 strikes per minute. He also has a defensive percentage of 57% with 7 of his 9 UFC wins ending in Ko’s and none of those 7 being later than round 2.

Contrasts in Fighting Style

It is also worth noting that Conor also has exceptional ability in reading his opponents tactics mid fight. During his bout against Dustin Poirier, Conor realized that Dustin was blocking his favoured straight left effectively. However in doing so, he was leaving the back of his head just above his ear exposed. Conor then changed the straight left for a left hook and this lead to him knocking Dustin out not long after.

McGregor made adjustments in his debut fight against Marcus Brimage. He noticed how every time Brimage rushed in he would duck his head which left him open to the uppercut. McGregor proceeded to time the rush in and knocked Brimage out after landing a clean uppercut to stun him.

Conor is also a good counterpuncher. He uses the same pull counter technique that Mayweather uses. We saw this in his second bout against Nate Diaz, against Eddie Alvarez, and in his 13 second victory over Jose Aldo.

Despite the size difference and physical disadvantages, Floyd Mayweather is still the easy favorite in this bout. Floyd Mayweather epitomizes the art of “hit and don’t get hit”. This style often called boring, but the a 49-0 record speaks for itself. Mayweather sees himself as what a boxer should be, never getting dragged into a brawl of trading blows.

His style has evolved over the years. He started out as a young and flashy fighter who would often win by stoppage. When he realized his body was no longer to uphold that consistent and pressuring approach, he changed it up. He began counter punching, evading his opponents barrages with slick and clever footwork.

Mayweather Advantages

Mayweather excels at making his opponent fight in the manner he wants them to, he often dictates the pace and is exceptional at doing so. Whoever has stood before him, he has nullified the threat and then outboxed them comfortably. We saw it against the likes of Ricky Hatton, Canelo Alvarez, Shane Mosley, and Manny Pacquiao to name a few.

Mayweather is perhaps the best fighter ever when it comes to landing his shots and ensuring his opponent lands little. We saw it against Pacquiao, Manny managed to land only 81 of his 429 strikes attempted whilst Mayweather landed 148 of his 435. Pacquiao could not trap Mayweather to land anything and whenever he threw, he found himself getting counter punched.

When looking into the statistics of Mayweather’s defensive efforts, his fabled shoulder roll allows him to shrink his target size by 50% in just 0.1 seconds. He is then able to throw a counter at a staggering 10.5 G’s of acceleration which is quicker than the strike of a Viper. His average punching power is measured at 814 pounds of force. For perspective, Nate Diaz hits with 820 pounds of force.

Floyd’s elusive style is matched by few on a statistical basis. When compared with the 4000+ fighters in the Compubox database, Floyd boasts one of the very best connection rates of 46%. Only Joe Louis and Lennox Lewis boast better rates and even they are only a mere 2% higher.

Floyd is the very best on the database when it comes to being hit, . Only 16% of his opponent’s strikes have landed on him across his career. There is a staggering 30% difference between what he throws and what his opponents land on him.

Mayweather also has a higher power punch success rate than Manny Pacquiao, a fighter known for his striking rate. Mayweather boasts a 47.8% power punch success rate. There is also the huge experience factor. Mayweather held the title in 5 weight divisions. By the time he was 47-0, 24 of his fights had been with a title on the line and he won every single last one.

Floyd has a vast amount of experience and he has it when the pressure was at its highest. Few can rival that.

Lead up Hype

With all the lead up hype completed, Conor was supremely confident. He certainly has some reasons to be confident. Despite some major disadvantages, he has his own advantages which could easily play out for him.

Floyd hasn’t fought in 2 years and is now 40. Despite having a near 2 year gap previously where he returned better than ever, he isn’t that young man he was then. Age catches up to everyone eventually. Even Floyd himself has said he isn’t the same fighter he was even 2 years ago.

He has stated multiple times that training is now more grueling than it was before due to his advancing age. McGregor is in his athletic prime now and is considerably younger. Factors as those must be taken into consideration.

For all of his lack of boxing experience, McGregor is an unknown entity. Mayweather won’t be able to predict his style or approach because he has never seen it.

The aura of mystery plays big into the Irish superstar’s hands. Though, it is hard to bet against the man who has done it all. Conor could truly shock the world but it would have to take something mega special. Floyd should win this bout via decision using his slick movement and efficient attacks.

Featured Image via FightHubTV/YouTube

Written by Has Karim of A1 Fight Gear // www.A1FightGear.com

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